,*APT] #a ,! ,KEYNESIAN 0,REVOLUTION0 ,PEOPLE 3 ,AU?OR 3 ,PAUL ,MATTICK ,TEXT 3 ,! !ORIES ( B\RGEOIS ECONOMI/S D[N TO ,DAVID ,RIC>DO W]E DEVELOP$ BE=E !RE WAS A REAL AW>5ESS ( ! CLASS ISSUES ?AT DOM9ATE CAPITALI/ SOCIETY4 ,RIC>DO1 AS ,M>X WROTE1 0MADE ! ANTAGONISM ( CLASS 9T]E/S1 ( WAGES & PR(ITS1 ( PR(ITS & R5T1 ! />T+ PO9T ( HIS 9VE/IGATIONS1 NAIVELY TAK+ ?IS ANTAGONISM = A SOCIAL LAW ( NATURE4 ,BUT BY ?IS />T ! SCI5CE ( B\RGEOIS ECONOMY HAD REA*$ ! LIMITS BEYOND :I* IT C\LD NOT PASS10.<#a.> = A FUR!R CRITICAL DEVELOPM5T C\LD LEAD ONLY TO ! RECOGNITION ( ! CONTRADICTIONS & LIMITATIONS ( ! CAPITALI/ SY/EM ( PRODUCTION4 ,BY DO+ :AT C\LD NOT BE DONE BY B\RGEOIS ECONOMI/S1 ,M>X FELT HIMSELF TO BE ! TRUE HEIR1 & ! DE/ROY] AS WELL1 ( B\RGEOIS ECONOMY4 ,?\< B\RGEOIS ECONOMY WAS 9DE$ UNABLE TO ADVANCE AS ,M>X HAD SAID1 IT WAS ABLE TO *ANGE ITS APPE>ANCE4 ,CLASSICAL ECONOMI/S HAD EMPHASIZ$ PRODUCTION & ! SY/EM AS A :OLE4 ,!IR FOLL[]S EMPHASIZ$ EX*ANGE & 9DIVIDUAL 5T]PRISE4 ,ECONOMIC !ORY BECAME 9CREAS+LY APOLOGETIC UNTIL ! :OLE PROBLEM ( ! SOCIAL RELATIONS ?AT UND]LIE ECONOMIC PROCESSES WAS DONE AWAY ) ?R\< ! REJECTION ( ! CLASSICAL VALUE !ORY 9 FAVOR ( ! SUBJECTIVE VALUE CONCEPT ( ! M>G9AL-UTILITY S*OOL4 ,9CREAS+ ECONOMIC DIFFICULTIES1 H[EV]1 CREAT$ AN 9T]E/ 9 ! BUS9ESS CYCLE1 9 ! FACTORS ?AT MAKE = PROSP]ITY1 CRISIS1 & DEPRESSION4 ,! NEO-CLASSICAL S*OOL1 :OSE BE/-KN[N PROPON5T WAS ,ALFR$ ,M>%ALL1 ATTEMPT$ TO TRANS=M ECONOMY 9TO A PRACTICAL SCI5CE2 IT S\KET MOVEM5TS & TO 9CREASE BO? ! PR(ITABILITY ( CAPITAL & ! G5]AL SOCIAL WELF>E4 ,9 ! MID/ ( ! ,GREAT ,DEPRESSION !RE APPE>$ ,JOHN ,MAYN>D ,KEYNES' WORK1 ,! ,G5]AL ,!ORY ( ,EMPLOYM5T1 ,9T]E/ & ,MONEY1 :I* WAS SOON HAIL$ AS A 0REVOLUTION0 9 ECONOMIC ?\X ) ,KEYNES1 ACCEPT+ ,KEYNES' !ORIES AS ! 0,M>XISM0 ( \R TIME4 ,M>X'S SKEPTICISM AB\T ! FUTURE ( B\RGEOIS SOCIETY WAS N[ SAID TO 9DICATE ONLY HIS 9ABILITY OR UNWILL+NESS TO CRITICIZE ! CLASSICI/S CON/RUCTIVELY4 ,& ( ,KEYNES IT WAS SAID ?AT HE MADE REAL ,ALFR$ ,M>%ALL'S ASPIRATIONS = A RE=M$ & IMPROV$ CAPITALISM4 ,JOHN ,MAYN>D ,KEYNES' POPUL>ITY IS ( LONG /&+ & WAS CREAT$ BY HIS BOOK ,! ,ECONOMIC ,CONSEQU5CES ( ! ,PEACE4 ,KEYNES OPPOS$ ! H>%NESS ( ! ,V]SAILLES ,TREATY BECAUSE >\ND 0,G]MANY AS A C5TRAL SUPPORT ! RE/ ( ! ,EUROPEAN ECONOMIC SY/EM GR\P$ ITSELF1 & ON ! PROSP]ITY & 5T]PRISE ( ,G]MANY ! PROSP]ITY ( ! RE/ ( ! ,CONT95T MA9LY DEP5D$40.<#b.> ,IT WAS SUGGE/$ ?AT ,KEYNES' CONCILIATORY REASON+ WAS MOTIVAT$ BY HIS FE> ( AN ANTI-CAPITALI/ REVOLUTION 9 ! WAKE ( ! W>4 ,O!RS SUSPECT$ ?AT HIS CON/RUCTIVE PROPOSALS ) REG>D TO ! PEACE W]E M]ELY SUBTLE WAYS ( FUR!R+ ,BRITI% PO/W> =EIGN POLICIES4 ,?\< !SE TWO CONC]NS UND\BT$LY PLAY$ A P>T 9 ! =MULATION ( HIS OP9ION1 ,KEYNES' OPPOSITION TO ! TREATY WAS BAS$ MA9LY ON ECONOMIC CONSID]ATIONS & WAS DET]M9$ BY HIS CONVICTION ?AT ! CAPITALI/ WORLD C\LD OP]ATE RATIONALLY4 ,! W> ITSELF WAS TO ,KEYNES ONLY AN ACCID5TAL & UNHAPPY 9T]LUDE 9 ! LIB]ALI/IC PROCESS ( CAPITAL =MATION4 ,9 #a#i#a#i1 HE FE>$ AN IMPAIRM5T ( CAPITAL ACCUMULATION BECAUSE 0! LABOR+ CLASSES MAY NO LONG] BE WILL+ TO =EGO SO L>GELY1 & ! CAPITALI/ CLASSES1 NO LONG] CONFID5T ( ! FUTURE1 MAY SEEK TO 5JOY MORE FULLY !IR LIB]TIES ( CONSUMPTION SO LONG AS !Y LA/1 & ?US PRECIPITATE ! H\R ( !IR CONFISCATION40.<#c.> ,! DI/URB$ 0ACCUMULATIVE HABITS0 HAD TO BE RE/OR$2 = AT ?IS TIME ,KEYNES /ILL UNRES]V$LY FAVOR$ ! 09EQUALITY ( ! DI/RIBUTION ( WEAL?0 AS ! BE/ MEANS = A VA/ AMASS+ ( CAPITAL4 ,) ! W>'S 5D HE EXPECT$ A RETURN TO 9T]NATIONAL FREE TRADE & UNLIMIT$ 9VE/M5T OPPORTUNITIES4 ,! SIMPLE/ WAY TO RE/ORE 0NORMALCY0 WAS1 ( C\RSE1 TO RE9/ITUTE PRE-W> CONDITIONS4 ,?IS IMPLI$ TREAT+ ,G]MANY AS IF !RE HAD BE5 NO W> AT ALL4 ,BUT AFT] EXP]I5C+ ! P]IOD ( 0W>-SOCIALISM0 9 ,5GL& & ON ! ,CONT95T & WITNESS+ ! ,BOL%EVIK 0EXP]IM5T0 9 ,RUSSIA1 ,KEYNES CEAS$ TO ?9K ?AT CAPITALISM WAS RE/RICT$ TO LAISSEZ-FAIRE ECONOMICS2 9 FACT1 HE N[ CONSID]$ 0LAISSEZ-FAIRE A LEG5D1 A BIT ( METAPHYSICAL ?9K+40 ,HE WAS CONV9C$ ?AT ! CAPITALI/ ECONOMY C\LD BE REGULAT$ SO AS TO FUNCTION BETT] ) \T LOS+ ITS CAPITALI/ *>ACT]4 ,& IF ! NATIONAL ECONOMY C\LD BE /E]$ 9TO DEF9ITE1 DESIRABLE *ANNELS1 IT MI & 9 !IR ABILITY TO 9FLU5CE ! ECONOMIC PROCESSES 9 A SOCIALLY SATISFACTORY WAY4 ,9 B\RGEOIS ECONOMIC !ORY M5 BEHAVE RATIONALLY 9 A M>KET :]E SELF-9T]E/ MEETS SELF-9T]E/1 EA* VY+ = ADVANTAGE & EA* LIMIT+ ! O!R4 ,?R\< ALL ! UNHAMP]$ 9DIVIDUAL ATTEMPTS TO MAXIMIZE WANT-SATISFACTION1 ! M>KET E/ABLI%ES PRICE RELATIONS :I* T5D T[>D ! MO/ ECONOMICAL ALLOCATION ( RE S\RCES4 ,KEYNES DID NOT *ALL5GE ! ASS]TION ?AT ! OPTIMUM ( ECONOMIC SELF-9T]E/ LEADS TO ! MAXIMUM ( SOCIAL WELL-BE+2 BUT HE DID F9D ?AT PEOPLE SELDOM KN[ !IR REAL 9T]E/S4 ,! 9DIVIDUALI/IC PR9CIPLE WAS NOT 5\< TO RECOGNIZE TRUE SELF-9T]E/4 ,SAV+S & CONSUMPTION RE/RICTIONS1 = 9/ANCE1 AT TIMES SUIT BO? ! 9DIVIDUAL & SOCIETY2 BUT AT O!R TIMES !Y MAY IMPOV]I% BO?4 ,TO F9D \T JU/ :5 ONE OR ANO!R POLICY IS APPROPRIATE REQUIRES A SOCIAL PO9T ( VIEW4 ,! NOTION ?AT ! SATISFACTION ( 9DIVIDUALI/IC SELF-9T]E/ DEM&S A CONSID]ATION ( ! SOCIAL SY/EM'S NE$S =C$ ,KEYNES TO TURN FROM 0MICRO-ECONOMICS0 TO ! 0MACRO-ECONOMICS0 ( ! CLASSICI/S4 ,?IS 9VOLV$ A P>TIAL RETURN TO ! LABOR !ORY ( VALUE2 = ! T]MS ?AT DESCRIBE ! S+LE FIRM & 9DIVIDUAL PRICE DET]M9ATION >E NOT SUIT$ TO A !ORY DISCUSS+ SOCIAL AGGREGATES SU* AS TOTAL 9COME1 CONSUMPTION1 9VE/M5T1 EMPLOYM5T & !IR ECONOMIC 9T]DEP5D5CE4 ,?IS *ANGE ON ,KEYNES' P>T HAS BE5 CONSID]$ AN 0IMPLICIT FUNDAM5TAL CRITICISM ( ! EXI/+ SOCIAL ORD]40.<#e.> ,9 REALITY IT ATTE/S ONLY TO ,KEYNES' GREAT CONC]N = GOV]NM5TAL CONTROLS 0BO? AS ! ONLY PRACTICAL MEANS ( AVOID+ ! DE/RUCTION ( ! EXI/+ ECONOMIC =MS 9 !IR 5TIRETY & AS A CONDITION ( ! SUCCESSFUL FUNCTION+ ( 9DIVIDUAL 9ITIATIVE40.<#f.> ,9 AN ATTEMPT TO COPE ) GR[+ ECONOMIC DIFFICULTIES1 ECONOMI/S TURN$ TO MONET>Y !ORY 9 ORD] TO 9FLU5CE ! BUS9ESS CYCLE4 ,KEYNES WAS WELL SUIT$ TO S]VE ?IS TR5D4 ,A SPECULATOR 9 9T]NATIONAL CURR5CY1 ,KEYNES WAS OCCUPI$ ) MONEY QUE/IONS & MONET>Y RE=MS FROM HIS FIR/ PUBLICATION ,9DIAN ,CURR5CY & ,F9ANCE 7#a#i#a#c71 D[N TO HIS LA/ CONTRIBUTION ON ! ,9T]NATIONAL ,MONET>Y ,FUND4 ,! CONTROL ( ! MONET>Y SY/EM HAD BECOME ESS5TIALLY A CONTROL ( CR$IT BY MEANS ( ! RATE ( 9T]E/4 ,9 ,KEYNES' VIEW1 EXCESSIVE 9FLATION AS WELL AS EXCESSIVE DEFLATION - BO? CAPABLE ( DI/URB+ ! /ABILITY ( ! ECONOMY - C\LD BE ATTRIBUT$ TO A DISP>ITY BETWE5 SAV+S & 9VE/M5TS4 ,IF 9VE/M5TS EXCE$$ SAV+S1 9FLATION W\LD OCCUR2 & IF ! REV]SE W]E TRUE1 DEFLATION W\LD SET 94 ,HE TRAC$ ! DISCREPANCY BETWE5 SAV+S & 9VE/M5TS TO A LACK ( REGULATION ( BO?4 ,AS 9DIVIDUALS & GR\PS MADE !IR SEP>ATE DECISIONS ON SAV+S & 9VE/M5TS1 !RE WAS NO GU>ANTEE ?AT !SE DECISIONS W\LD COMPLEM5T EA* O!R4 ,ECONOMIC WELL-BE+ DEP5D$1 !N1 ON A RATE ( 9T]E/ ?AT W\LD KEEP SAV+S 9 CON=MITY ) 9VE/M5TS & ?US /ABILIZE ! G5]AL PRICE LEVEL4 ,KEYNES HELD ?AT PRODUCTION IS LIMIT$ BY ! RATE ( 9T]E/ BECAUSE ?IS RATE DEF9ES ! /&>D = ! PR(ITABILITY ( 9VE/M5TS4 ,! RATE ( 9VE/M5T DEP5DS ON 5TREPR5EURS1 :O MAKE 9VE/M5TS ACCORD+ TO !IR EXPECT$ PR(ITABILITY4 ,!SE 5TREPR5EURS >E SUPPOS$ TO COMP>E !IR PR(IT EXPECTATIONS ) ! CURR5T 9T]E/ PAID ON BORR[$ MONEY4 ,?US1 L[]+ ! 9T]E/ RATE W\LD 9CREASE ! 9CL9ATION TO 9VE/4 ,KEYNES DID NOT D5Y ?AT A PROLONG$ DEPRESSION W\LD REE/ABLI% A 0PROP]0 RELATION%IP BETWE5 PR(IT1 9T]E/ & WAGES4 ,BUT HE FELT SURE ?AT AN 9FLATION>Y C\RSE W\LD ACCOMPLI% ! SAME RESULTS ) FEW] H>D%IPS4 ,HE LOOK$ UPON HIS 9FLATION>Y PROPOSALS NOT AS A CONTRA/ TO ! CLASSICAL DOCTR9E1 BUT AS AN ANSW] TO ! VIOLATION ( ?AT DOCTR9E :I* WAS ALREADY ACCOMPLI%$ ?R\< >TIFICIALLY-MA9TA9$ 9T]E/ RATES4 ,HE WAS CONV9C$ ?AT CONTROL ( ! MONEY & CR$IT SUPPLY C\LD E/ABLI% AN EQUILIBRIUM RATE ( 9T]E/ :I* W\LD EQUATE SAV+S & 9 VE/M5TS & CREATE ! PSY*OLOGICAL CONDITIONS = 0NORMAL0 CAPITAL EXPANSION4 ,!RE IS NO NE$1 = ! MOM5T1 TO FOLL[ ,KEYNES' NUM]\S' PROPOSALS ON H[ TO ALLEVIATE ! ECONOMIC ILLS BY MONET>Y MEANS4 ,HIS 0ORIG9ALITY0 DID NOT LIE 9 ?IS FIELD3 H]E HE %>$ HONORS ) ,HAWTREY1 ,H>ROD1 ,CASSEL1 ,WICKSELL1 ,FI%] & A HO/ ( LONG-=GOTT5 0MONEY-CRANKS10 P>TICUL>LY ,PR\DHON & ,SILVIO ,GESELL4.<#g.> ,PR\DHON 5VISION$ AN ECONOMIC SY/EM ( 0MUTUALISM0 )\T EXPLOITATION1 TO BE A*IEV$ BY R5D]+ CAPITAL 9CAPABLE ( E>N+ 9T]E/4 ,HE PROPOS$ ! E/ABLI%M5T ( A NATIONAL BANK1 :I* W\LD GRATUIT\SLY GRANT CR$ITS TO ALL CALL]S 9 A SOCIETY ( 9DEP5D5T PRODUC]S & WORK]S' SYNDICATES4 ,:ILE ,PR\DHON IMAG9$ ?AT ! ABOLITION ( 9T]E/ WAS ! SURE/ WAY T[>D 0SOCIALISM10 ,SILVIO ,GESELL F\ND NO?+ WRONG ) ! 0,MAN*E/] SY/EM40 ,HE WAS OPPOS$ TO 9T]E/ & R5T AS DETRIM5TS TO ! CONT9U\S EXPANSION ( PRODUCTION4 ,MONEY1 ACCORD+ TO ,GESELL1 S9CE IT WAS NOT ONLY A M$IUM ( EX*ANGE BUT ALSO A /ORE ( WEAL?1 HAD ! T5D5CY TO LEAVE ! CIRCULATION PROCESS1 !REBY CAUS+ /AGNATION & DECL9E4 ,IF ! HO>D+ ( MONEY C\LD BE PREV5T$1 PRODUCTION C\LD GO ON UN9T]RUPT$LY4 ,HE SUGGE/$ IMPOS+ A C>RY+-*>GE = MONEY4 ,TAX+ ALL LIQUID FUNDS W\LD MAKE ! HOLD+ ( MONEY AN EXP5SIVE AFFAIR4 ,HE ASSUM$ ?AT PEOPLE W\LD 9VE/ !IR MONEY 9 0REAL CAPITAL0 RA!R ?AN PAY A PRICE = HO>D+2 & ?AT ! 9CREASE 9 9VE/M5TS W\LD LEAD TO AN ECONOMY ( ABUNDANCE & G5]AL WELL-BE+4 ,:ILE ,KEYNES DID NOT %>E ,PR\DHON'S UTOPIAN LONG+S1 HE WAS 9 FULL AGREEM5T ) ! ATTACK UPON ! PAYM5T ( 9T]E/1 & HE FAVOR$ ! GRADUAL 0EU?ANASIA ( ! R5TI]40 ,& ?\< HE F\ND ,GESELL'S !ORIES RA!R IMPRACTICAL1 HE REG>D$ !M AS S\ND 9 PR9CIPLE4 ,HE1 TOO1 ?\Y TO APPLY IT3 A MANIPULAT$ RATE ( 9T]E/ C\LD CONTROL 9VE/M5T WELL 5\< TO MA9TA9 ! NECESS>Y RATE ( CAPITAL EXPANSION4 ,9 DI/9CTION FROM ?OSE ECONOMI/S :O BELIEV$ ?AT ALL ECONOMIC PROBLEMS C\LD BE SOLV$ BY MONET>Y MEANS ALONE1 ,KEYNES PRES5T$ HIS IDEAS AS A 0COMPLETE !ORY ( A MONET>Y ECONOMY0 9TEGRAT+ MONET>Y & VALUE !ORY4 ,HE CALL$ HIS WORK A 0,G5]AL ,!ORY ( ,EMPLOYM5T1 ,9T]E/ & ,MONEY10 BECAUSE 9 HIS OP9ION 0! PO/ULATES ( ! CLASSICAL !ORY >E APPLICABLE TO A SPECIAL CASE ONLY & NOT TO ! G5]AL CASE1 ! SITUATION :I* IT ASSUMES BE+ A LIMIT+ PO9T ( ! POSSIBLE POSITIONS ( EQUILIBRIUM4 ,MOREOV]1 ! *>ACT]I/ICS ( ! SPECIAL CASE ASSUM$ BY ! CLASSICAL !ORY HAPP5 NOT TO BE ?OSE ( ! ECONOMIC SOCIETY 9 :I* WE ACTUALLY LIVE1 ) ! RESULT ?AT ITS TEA*+ IS MISLEAD+ & DISA/R\S IF WE ATTEMPT TO APPLY IT TO ! FACTS ( EXP]I5CE40.<#h.> ,TRADITIONAL OR /&>D !ORY DID NOT ACC\NT = UNEMPLOYM5T2 UNTIL ! ,G5]AL ,!ORY1 ,KEYNES' [N >GUM5TS OV]LOOK$ ! PROBLEM4 ,TO BE SURE1 HIS ,TREATISE ON ,MONEY 7#a#i#c7 ANTICIPAT$ ! LAT] ATTEMPT TO APPROA* ! QUE/ION ( \TPUT & EMPLOYM5T AS A :OLE4 ,BUT ONLY 9 ! ,G5]AL ,!ORY DOES HE S]I\SLY BEG9 TO DEAL ) BO? ! DI/RIBUTION & ! QUANTITY ( EMPLOYM5T1 & ) ! =CES ?AT DET]M9E ITS *ANGES4 ,TRADITIONAL !ORY WAS B\ND TO ! IMAG9>Y CONDITIONS ( FULL EMPLOYM5T BECAUSE ITS PROPON5TS FELT SURE ?AT WAGE LEVELS W\LD REACT TO ! =CES ( SUPPLY & DEM& & W\LD NEV] BE SO HI< = SO LONG A TIME AS TO CREATE OR MA9TA9 UNEMPLOYM5T4 ,!Y W]E CONV9C$ ?AT L[] WAGES W\LD 9CREASE EMPLOYM5T1 & !Y W]E CONFID5T ?AT UNEMPLOYM5T W\LD R$UCE WAGES4 ,KEYNES %>$ !IR CONVICTION BUT NOT !IR CONFID5CE4 ,HE F\ND ?AT A GIV5 0PROP5SITY TO CONSUME0 & A GIV5 RATE ( 9VE/M5T DET]M9E BETWE5 !M A DEF9ITE LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T CONSI/5T ) ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM4 ,AL?\< ?IS LEVEL CANNOT BE GREAT] ?AN FULL EMPLOYM5T1 IT CAN BE SMALL]4 ,AN EQUILIBRIUM 9CLUD+ FULL EMPLOYM5T MAY EXI/2 BUT IT W\LD BE A SPECIAL CASE4 ,G5]ALLY1 AN 9CREASE 9 ! LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T NECESSITATES A *ANGE EI!R 9 ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME OR 9 ! RATE ( 9VE/M5T4 ,KEYNES DID NOT QUE/ION ! ASS]TION ?AT UND] C]TA9 CONDITIONS UNEMPLOYM5T 9DICAT$ ! EXI/5CE ( REAL WAGES ?AT >E 9COMPATIBLE ) ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM1 & ?AT L[]+ !M W\LD 9CREASE EMPLOYM5T BY RAIS+ ! PR(ITABILITY ( CAPITAL & ?US ! RATE ( 9VE/M5T4 ,BUT HE F\ND ?AT WAGES W]E LESS FLEXIBLE ?AN HAD BE5 G5]ALLY ASSUM$4 ,WORK]S HAD LE>N$ TO RESI/ WAGE R$UCTIONS4 ,& AS LONG AS ! 0SOCIALI/ ME?OD0 ( WAGE-CUTT+ BY GOV]NM5T DECREE WAS NOT1 HE SAID1 A REALITY1 ! AVAILABLE ME?ODS ( WAGE-CUTT+ W]E NOT EFFICI5T 5\< TO SECURE UNI=M WAGE-R$UCTIONS = EV]Y CLASS ( LABOR4 ,HE ALSO NOTIC$ ?AT WORK]S' RESI/ANCE IS GREAT] TO A CUT 9 MONEY WAGES ?AN TO A L[]+ ( REAL WAGES4 ,?IS IS TRUE1 ( C\RSE2 IF ONLY BECAUSE IT IS EASI] TO GO ON /RIKE ?AN RESI/ RIS+ PRICES4 ,KEYNES SAW ?AT ?IS ALL[$ = MORE SUBTLE WAYS ( WAGE-CUTT+ ?AN ?OSE TRADITIONALLY EMPLOY$4 ,! SUBTLE WAY WAS ALSO ! MORE G5]AL & EFFECTIVE WAY1 HE FELT4 ,A FLEXIBLE WAGE POLICY C\LD BE CREAT$ BY A FLEXIBLE MONEY POLICY3 AN 9CREASE 9 ! QUANTITY ( MONEY W\LD RAISE PRICES & R$UCE REAL WAGES IF MONEY-WAGES REMA9$ /ATION>Y OR ROSE MORE SL[LY ?AN ! G5]AL PRICE LEVEL4 0,HAV+ REG>D TO HUMAN NATURE & \R 9/ITUTIONS10 HE WROTE1 0IT CAN ONLY BE A FOOLI% P]SON :O W\LD PREF] A FLEXIBLE WAGE POLICY TO A FLEXIBLE MONEY POLICY1 UNLESS HE CAN PO9T TO ADVANTAGES FROM ! =M] :I* >E NOT AVAILABLE FROM ! LATT]40.<#i.> ,BEYOND !SE OBS]VATIONS1 H[EV]1 ,KEYNES HELD ?AT EMPLOYM5T 9 A DEVELOP$ CAPITALISM IS DET]M9$ NOT BY WAGE-B>GA9S BETWE5 WORK]S & EMPLOY]S BUT BY ! EXI/+ 0EFFECTIVE DEM&10 :I* DEP5DS ON ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME & ON ! RATE ( CAPITAL EXPANSION4 ,EV5 ) P]FECTLY FLEXIBLE WAGE-RATES1 UNEMPLOYM5T W\LD EXI/ IF !RE W]E A DECL9+ DEM&4 ,! RUL+ ASSUMPTION ( 0,SAY'S LAW0 ?AT 0SUPPLY CREATES ITS [N DEM&0 IS SIMPLY NOT TRUE2 CAPITALISM IS NOT ! SELF-ADJU/+ SY/EM IT WAS SUPPOS$ TO BE4 ,:ILE IT IS TRUE ?AT A R$UCTION 9 MONEY-WAGES :I* LEAVES ! EXI/+ AGGREGATE DEM& 9TACT WILL 9CREASE EMPLOYM5T1 ?IS WILL NOT BE ! CASE IF ! AGGREGATE DEM& DECL9ES4 ,FROM A 0SOCIAL0 PO9T ( VIEW1 WAGE-R$UCTIONS MAKE S5SE ONLY IF !Y LEAD TO AN EXPANSION ( PRODUCTION :I* 9CREASES EFFECTIVE DEM&4 ,& ! M>KET WILL NOT PROVIDE WAGE POLICIES TO SECURE & 5L>GE EFFECTIVE DEM& UNTIL FULL EMPLOYM5T IS REA*$4 ,TO ?IS 5D1 9T]F]5CES ( A MONET>Y &1 P]HAPS1 AN EXTRA-MONET>Y *>ACT] >E NE$$4 ,! PURPOSE ( !SE 9T]F]5CES1 H[EV]1 IS TO MAKE ! M>KET'S ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM OP]ATE UND] CONDITIONS ( FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,SAY'S UNWORKABLE LAW ( ! M>KET IS TO BE MADE TO WORK BY EXTRA-M>KET MEANS4 ,ACCORD+ TO ,SAY1 ALL PEOPLE PRODUCE EI!R TO CONSUME OR TO SELL & ALL SELL 9 ORD] TO BUY SOME O!R COMMODITY TO USE OR TO CONSUME2 CONSEQU5TLY1 SUPPLY & DEM& >E B\ND TO BALANCE4 ,IF !RE IS TOO MU* ( A P>TICUL> COMMODITY1 ITS PRICE WILL FALL2 IF !RE IS NOT 5\<1 ITS PRICE WILL RISE2 !SE PRICE *ANGES1 T5D+ TO ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM1 EXCLUDE ! POSSIBILITY ( G5]AL OV]PRODUCTION4 ,! M>KET ME*ANISM IS H]E SE5 AS A SELF-ADJU/+ EQUILIBRIUM ME*ANISM :I* NE$ ONLY BE LEFT ALONE TO PRODUCE ! MO/ ECONOMICAL & RATIONAL ALLOCATION ( PRODUCTIVE RES\RCES & DI/RIBUTION ( COMMODITIES4 ,AS A COROLL>Y ( ! SAME DOCTR9E1 ,KEYNES SAID1 0IT HAS BE5 SUPPOS$ ?AT ANY 9DIVIDUAL ACT ( AB/A9+ FROM CONSUMPTION NECESS>ILY LEADS TO1 & AM\NTS TO ! SAME ?+ AS1 CAUS+ ! LABOR & COMMODITIES ?US RELEAS$ FROM SUPPLY+ CONSUMPTION TO BE 9VE/$ 9 ! PRODUCTION ( CAPITAL WEAL?40.<#a.> ,NOT)/&+ SOME !ORETICAL 9CONSI/5CIES1 MOD]N ECONOMIC ?\ ,KEYNES ADMITT$ ! PLAUSIBILITY ( ! IDEA 0?AT ! CO/S ( \TPUT >E ALWAYS COV]$ 9 ! AGGREGATE BY ! SALE-PROCE$S RESULT+ FROM DEM&40 ,?IS IDEA MAKES IT NATURAL TO SUPPOSE 0?AT ! ACT ( AN 9DIVIDUAL1 BY :I* HE 5RI*ES HIMSELF )\T APP>5TLY TAK+ ANY?+ FROM ANYONE ELSE1 MU/ ALSO 5RI* ! COMMUNITY AS A :OLE2 SO ?AT AN ACT ( 9DIVIDUAL SAV+ 9EVITABLY LEADS TO A P>ALLEL ACT ( 9VE/M5T4 ,=1 IT IS 9DUBITABLE ?AT ! SUM ( ! NET 9CREM5T ( ! WEAL? ( 9DIVIDUALS MU/ BE EXACTLY EQUAL TO ! AGGREGATE NET 9CREM5T ( ! WEAL? ( ! COMMUNITY40 ,BUT ,KEYNES CONCLUD$ ?AT 0?OSE :O ?9K 9 ?IS WAY W]E DECEIV$1 NEV]!LESS1 BY AN OPTICAL ILLUSION1 :I* MAKES TWO ESS5TIALLY DIFF]5T ACTIVITIES APPE> TO BE ! SAME40.<#a#b.> ,FROM ! ASSUMPTION ?AT ! DEM& PRICE ( \TPUT AS A :OLE EQUALS ITS SUPPLY PRICE FOLL[ ALL ! O!R ASSUMPTIONS ( NEO-CLASSICAL EQUILIBRIUM !ORY1 9CLUD+ ITS !ORY ( EMPLOYM5T4 ,?IS !ORY ALL[S ONLY = 0VOLUNT>Y0 OR 0FRICTIONAL0 UNEMPLOYM5T1 NOT = 9VOLUNT>Y UNEMPLOYM5T4 ,KEYNES1 H[EV]1 ACKN[L$G$ ! EXI/5CE ( 9VOLUNT>Y UNEMPLOYM5T3 HE DESCRIB$ ITS ABS5CE AS A /ATE ( 0FULL EMPLOYM5T40 ,IT IS NOT V]Y PLAUSIBLE1 HE WROTE1 0TO ASS]T ?AT UNEMPLOYM5T 9 ! ,UNIT$ ,/ATES 9 #aicb WAS DUE EI!R TO LABOR OB/9ATELY REFUS+ TO ACCEPT A R$UCTION ( MONEY-WAGES OR TO ITS OB/9ATELY DEM&+ A REAL WAGE BEYOND :AT ! PRODUCTIVITY ( ! ECONOMIC MA*9E WAS CAPABLE ( FURNI%+4 ,WIDE V>IATIONS >E EXP]I5C$ 9 ! VOLUME ( EMPLOYM5T )\T ANY APP>5T *ANGE EI!R 9 ! M9IMUM REAL DEM&S ( LABOR OR 9 ITS PRODUCTIVITY40.<#a#c.> ,= ,KEYNES ! V]Y FACT ( L>GE-SCALE & PROLONG$ UNEMPLOYM5T 9DICAT$ ?AT 0,SAY'S LAW0 IS NOT A G5]AL ECONOMIC LAW BUT HOLDS TRUE ONLY UND] ! SPECIAL CONDITIONS ( EQUILIBRIUM ) FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,9 ,KEYNES' VIEW1 ! ECONOMIC SY/EM MAY BE 9 EQUILIBRIUM UND] CONDITIONS ( LESS ?AN FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,?AT IS TO SAY1 A GIV5 LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T %ORT ( FULL EMPLOYM5T MAY BE ! MO/ PR(ITABLE = ! 5TREPR5EURS4 ,NO =CE !N EXI/S )9 ! EQUILIBRIUM TO RAISE ! LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T TO FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,?IS CAN BE BR\IABLES 0?OSE V>IABLES :I* CAN BE DELIB]ATELY CONTROLL$ OR MANAG$ BY C5TRAL AU?ORITY 9 ! K9D ( SY/EM 9 :I* WE ACTUALLY LIVE40.<#a#d.> ,= ,KEYNES1 !SE DET]M9ABLE V>IABLES W]E ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME & ! 9C5TIVE TO 9VE/4 ,MANIPULATION ( !SE V>IABLES WAS TO LEAD TO A /ATE ( ECONOMIC EQUILIBRIUM ) FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,ONCE ?IS WAS E/ABLI%$1 ! /ATIC EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS W\LD HOLD GOOD AGA94 ,KEYNES DID NOT QUE/ION ! POSSIBILITY ( SU* AN EQUILIBRIUM2 HE D\BT$ ONLY ?AT ! SY/EM W\LD ADJU/ ITSELF TO CREATE IT4 ,! !ORY :I* FAIL$ TO FIT ! PRACTICE WAS C\NT]$ BY A PRACTICE TO FIT ! !ORY4 ,KEYNES F\ND IT CONV5I5T TO SYMPA?IZE ) ! DOCTR9E 0?AT EV]Y?+ IS PRODUC$ BY LABOR10 BECAUSE 0MU* UNNECESS>Y P]PLEXITY CAN BE AVOID$ IF WE LIMIT \RSELVES /RICTLY TO ! TWO UNITS1 MONEY & LABOR1 :5 WE >E DEAL+ ) ! BEHAVIOR ( ! ECONOMIC SY/EM AS A :OLE40.<#a#e.> ,! BASIC UNIT ( EMPLOYM5T 9 HIS SY/EM IS A WORK+-H\R ( AV]AGE PRODUCTIVITY1 AS 9 ,M>X'S SY/EM SKILL$ LABOR IS R$UC$ TO UNSKILL$ LABOR4 ,A WAGE-UNIT IS ! QUANTITY ( MONEY RECEIV$ = AN H\R ( WORK4 ,! AGGREGATES ( PRODUCTION1 9COME1 & EMPLOYM5T REPRES5T C]TA9 VALUES 9 T]MS ( WAGE-UNITS & ! LATT] >E ASSUM$ TO BE ( CON/ANT MAGNITUDE4 ,QUANTITIES ( EMPLOYM5T MEASUR$ 9 WAGE UNITS S]VE AS AN 9DEX = MEASUR+ ! *ANGES 9 ! ECONOMIC SY/EM4 ,EXPRESS$ 9 SIMPLE/ T]MS1 ,KEYNES' MODEL REPRES5TS A CLOS$ SY/EM DIVID$ 9TO TWO DEP>TM5TS ( PRODUCTION - ?AT ( CONSUMPTION GOODS & ?AT ( CAPITAL GOODS4 ,! TOTAL MONEY EXP5DITURES ON CONSUMPTION GOODS PLUS ! TOTAL EXP5DITURES ON CAPITAL GOODS CON/ITUTE TOTAL 9COME4 ,:5 ! AGGREGATE DEM& - ! DEM& = CONSUMPTION & CAPITAL GOODS - EQUALS TOTAL 9COME1 :I* IMPLIES ?AT TOTAL SAV+S EQUALS TOTAL 9VE/M5TS1 ! SY/EM IS SUPPOS$ TO BE 9 EQUILIBRIUM4 ,A DECL9E ( AGGREGATE DEM&1 IMPLY+ A DISCREPANCY BETWE5 SAV+S & 9VE/M5TS1 R$UCES TOTAL 9COME & PRODUCES UNEMPLOYM5T4 ,9 ORD] TO ALT] ?IS SITUATION1 ! AGGREGATE DEM& MU/ BE 9CREAS$ TO A PO9T :]E TOTAL 9COME IMPLIES FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,BECAUSE ,RIC>DO 0NEGLECT$ ! AGGREGATE DEM& FUNCTION10 ,KEYNES FELT HIMSELF ANTI-,RIC>DIAN & PRO-,MAL?USIAN 9 RAIS+ ! ISSUE ( 0EFFECTIVE DEM&0 AS ! FUNDAM5TAL PR9CIPLE ( AN ECONOMY ( FULL EMPLOYM5T4 ,BUT :ILE 0,MAL?US WAS UNABLE TO EXPLA9 CLE>LY H[ & :Y EFFECTIVE DEM& C\LD BE DEFICI5T10.<#a#f.> ,KEYNES ?\GE 5\< TO 5ABLE ! CAPITALI/S TO REALIZE !IR PR(ITS4 ,& S9CE PRICES 9CLUD$ PR(ITS1 !Y C\LD NOT BE REALIZ$ 9 9TRA-CAPITALI/ EX*ANGE4 ,CAPITAL-LABOR RELATIONS CONTA9$ & CREAT$ A LACK ( DEM& :I* DE/ROY$ ! 9C5TIVE TO ACCUMULATE CAPITAL4 ,MAL?US CONCLUD$ ?AT ?IS DEM& MU/ COME =? FROM SOCIAL LAY]S O!R ?AN LABOR & CAPITAL4 ,9 ?IS WAY HE JU/IFI$ ! CONT9U$ EXI/5CE ( ! NONPRODUCTIVE FEUDAL CLASS3 HE DEEM$ !IR CONSUMPTION NECESS>Y = ! PROP] FUNCTION+ ( ! ECONOMY4 ,H[EV]1 0! GREAT PUZZLE ( EFFECTIVE DEM& ) :I* ,MAL?US WRE/L$1 VANI%$ FROM ECONOMIC LIT]ATURE10.<#a#g.> UNTIL RESURRECT$ BY ,KEYNES4 ,HIS !ORY MAY ?US BE REG>D$ AS A MOD]N V]SION1 ELABORATION1 & POSSIBLY REF9EM5T ( ,MAL?US' !ORY ( ACCUMULATION4 ,CONSUMPTION1 = ,KEYNES1 IS ! OBVI\S 5D & OBJECT ( ALL ECONOMIC ACTIVITY4 ,CAPITAL1 HE WROTE1 0IS NOT A SELF-SUBSI/5T 5TITY EXI/+ AP>T FROM CONSUMPTION02 !RE=E 0EV]Y WEAK5+ 9 ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME REG>D$ AS A P]MAN5T HABIT MU/ WEAK5 ! DEM& = CAPITAL AS WELL AS ! DEM& = CONSUMPTION40.<#a#h.> ,HE BELIEV$ ?AT IT IS A 0PSY*OLOGICAL LAW0 ?AT 9DIVIDUALS T5D TO CONSUME PROGRESSIVELY SMALL] PORTIONS ( !IR 9COME AS ?IS 9COME 9CREASES4 ,:5 AGGREGATE REAL 9COME IS 9CREAS$ CONSUMPTION 9CREASES TOO1 ( C\RSE1 BUT NOT SO MU* AS 9COME4 ,IT IS ONLY 9 AN ECONOMICALLY BACKW>D SOCIETY1 ,KEYNES WROTE1 ?AT ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME IS L>GE 5\< TO ASSURE ! EMPLOYM5T ( ALL H&S4 ,?IS PROP5SITY DECL9ES 9 A 0MATURE0 SOCIETY4 ,S9CE ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME DECL9ES ) ! 5RI*M5T ( SOCIETY1 & S9CE CAPITAL =MATION IS ! 5RI*M5T ( SOCIETY1 IT FOLL[S ?AT TO FO/] ! 5RI*M5T ( SOCIETY IS TO SUPPORT ! DECL9E ( ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME4 ,! ACCUMULATION ( CAPITAL MU/1 !RE=E1 COME TO AN 5D 9 ! DECL9+ PROP5SITY TO CONSUME1 :I* IS ! KEY TO ! DECREAS+ EFFECTIVE DEM&4 ,KEYNES HAD SET \T TO DEFEAT ,SAY'S LAW ( ! M>KET ON ITS [N GR\ND1 ?AT IS1 ON ! ASSUMPTION ?AT PRODUCTION IS C>RI$ ON = ! B5EFIT ( CONSUMPTION4 ,& H[ C\LD HE HAVE BE5 MORE SUCCESSFUL ?AN BY %[+ ?AT JU/ BECAUSE ( ! 0FACT0 ?AT PRODUCTION S]VES CONSUMPTION1 SUPPLY DOES NOT CREATE ITS [N DEM&8 ,KEYNES VIEWS ! CONSUMPTION ( ! MASS ( ! POPULATION1 MIS]ABLE AS IT MAY BE COMP>$ ) POT5TIAL & EV5 ACTUAL PRODUCTION1 AS ! COMMUNITY'S *OS5 CONSUMPTION1 :I* EXPRESSES ITS ACTUAL PROP5SITY TO CONSUME4 ,YET HE ?9KS ?AT EV5 9 ! 0MATURE0 SOCIETY EFFECTIVE DEM& MI ,?IS REFUTES1 ( C\RSE1 ,KEYNES' [N /ATEM5T ?AT CAPITAL IS 0NOT A SELF-SUBSI/5T 5TITY10 & ?AT 0CONSUMPTION IS ! SOLE 5D ( PRODUCTION40 ,IT IS TRUE ?AT1 G5]ALLY1 B\RGEOIS ECONOMY PAID NO ATT5TION TO ! QUE/ION ( EFFECTIVE DEM&4 ,M>XISM DEALT ) IT1 AL?\<1 ACCORD+ TO ,KEYNES1 ONLY 0FURTIVELY1 BEL[ ! SURFACE1 9 ! UND]WORLD0 ( ECONOMIC !ORY4 ,= ,M>X1 CAPITALI/ PRODUCTION IS ORI5T$ NOT T[>DS CONSUMPTION NE$S BUT T[>DS ! PRODUCTION ( CAPITAL4 ,CAPITALISM MU/ PRODUCE 9 ORD] TO CONSUME1 IT IS TRUE2 BUT 9 ORD] TO PRODUCE IT MU/ FIR/ SEE ! GRE5 LII PASSU ) ! 9CREASE 9 9VE/M5TS2 UNLESS1 9DE$1 !RE IS A *ANGE 9 ! PROP5SITY TO CONSUME40.<#b.> ,H[EV]1 ,KEYNES MA9TA9$ ?AT = ! PRES5T ! ONLY RATIONAL & EFFECTIVE REM$Y = UNEMPLOYM5T LAY 9 ! FUR!R EXPANSION ( CAPITAL4 ,! PROBLEM C\LD ALSO BE SOLV$ BY A R$UCTION ( ! WORK+-TIME AT ! EXP5SE ( 9VE/M5T & CONSUMPTION2 BUT1 LIKE MO/ NON-WORK]S1 ,KEYNES WAS SURE ?AT 0! GREAT MAJORITY ( 9DIVIDUALS W\LD PREF] 9CREAS$ 9COME TO 9CREAS$ LEISURE40.<#b#a.> ,/ILL1 :ILE ,KEYNES WAS V]Y MU* 0IMPRESS$ BY ! GREAT SOCIAL ADVANTAGES ( 9CREAS+ ! /OCK ( CAPITAL UNTIL IT CEASES TO BE SC>CE10 HE WAS WILL+ TO 0CONC$E ?AT ! WISE/ C\RSE IS TO ADVANCE ON BO? FRONTS AT ONCE 4 4 4TO PROMOTE 9VE/M5TS &1 AT ! SAME TIME1 TO PROMOTE CONSUMPTION1 NOT M]ELY TO ! LEVEL :I*1 ) ! EXI/+ PROP5SITY TO CONSUME1 W\LD CORRESPOND TO ! 9CREAS$ 9VE/M5T1 BUT TO A HI<] LEVEL /ILL40.<#b#b.> ,UND] CAPITALI/ CONDITIONS1 H[EV]1 ?IS 0HI<] LEVEL /ILL0 W\LD R$UCE ! PR(ITABILITY ( CAPITAL1 DECREASE ! LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T1 & 9ITIATE NEW DEM&S = ! 9CREASE ( 9VE/M5TS AS A PRECONDITION = AN 9CREASE ( CONSUMPTION4 ,TRADITIONALLY1 PR(IT HAS BE5 REG>D$ AS A REW>D RECEIV$ BY CAPITALI/S = !IR ACTIVITY &1 :]E !RE WAS NO SU* ACTIVITY1 AS A REW>D = !IR WILL+NESS TO 9VE/ RA!R ?AN CONSUME !IR 0SAV+S40 ,PR(IT ALSO REW>D$ !M = TAK+ 0RISKS10 OR = !IR SOCIAL IMPORTANCE 9 DEVELOP+ 0R\ND-AB\T ME?ODS0 ( PRODUCTION :I*1 :ILE LEAD+ TO GREAT] PRODUCTIVITY1 IMPLY WAIT+-P]IODS = LONG-T]M 9VE/M5TS4 ,9 EI!R CASE1 CAPITALI/S1 BY AB/A9+ FROM CONSUMPTION AT ONE TIME1 E>N$ ! RIS ( SO-CALL$ 09VE/M5T /RIKES10 ,KEYNES F\ND IT ADVISABLE TO ALT] ! AB/95CE !ORY ( PR(IT & 9T]E/4 ,HE SUGGE/$ ?AT PR(IT & 9T]E/ %\LD NO LONG] BE REG>D$ AS REW>DS = SAV+ & 9VE/+ MONEY BUT AS REW>DS = OV]COM+ ! DESIRE NOT TO 9VE/1 = OPPOS+ 0LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE0 - 9 O!R WORDS1 = ! WILL+NESS ON ! P>T ( ! CAPITALI/ TO REMA9 A CAPITALI/4 ,ACTUALLY1 ( C\RSE1 IT MAKES NO DIFF]5CE AT ALL :E!R ONE SAYS ?AT PR(ITS >E REW>DS = 9VE/+ CAPITAL OR REW>DS = OPPOS+ LIQUIDITY4 ,QU>RELS AMONG ECONOMI/S 9 ?IS REG>D REVOLVE >\ND ! QUE/ION ( :E!R LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE CAUSES /AGNATION OR ! O!R WAY >\ND4 0,:5 ?+S LOOK BLACK10 WROTE ,J4 ,A4 ,S*UMPET]1 0& PEOPLE EXPECT NO?+ BUT LOSSES FROM ANY COMMITM5T !Y MI NO DEF5SE ( ANY 'OV]-SAV+' !ORY CAN BE BAS$ UPON IT BECAUSE IT OCCURS ONLY AS A CONSEQU5CE ( A DEPRESSION & H5CE CANNOT ITSELF BE EXPLA9$ BY IT40.<#b#c.> ,9 ,KEYNES' VIEW1 9 CONTRA/1 0LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE0 PREC$ES /AGNATION BECAUSE ( ! PSY*OLOGICALLY-DET]M9$ T5D5CY T[>DS HO>D+ :I* IS ASSOCIAT$ ) ! DECL9+ PROP5SITY TO CONSUME4 ,ACCORD+ TO ,KEYNES1 TO /ATE HIS POSITION ONCE MORE1 AN 9CREASE ( 9COME 9CREASES CONSUMPTION1 BUT BY LESS ?AN 9COME4 ,ON ! ASSUMPTION ?AT ALL 9VE/M5T ULTIMATELY S]VES CONSUMPTION NE$S1 SAV+S WILL 9CREASE FA/] ?AN 9VE/M5TS4 ,AS ?IS OCCURS1 AGGREGATE DEM& DECL9ES & ! ACTUAL LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T FALLS %ORT ( ! AVAILABLE LABOR SUPPLY4 ,?IS HAPP5S 9 A 0MATURE0 SOCIETY BECAUSE ! GREAT SIZE ( ! ALREADY-EXI/+ /OCK ( CAPITAL DEPRESSES ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY 7PR(ITABILITY7 ( CAPITAL & ?US DEPRESSES EXPECTATIONS AB\T FUTURE CAPITAL YIELDS4 ,WEAL?-[N]S W\LD RA!R HOLD !IR SAV+S 9 LIQUID =M ?AN 9VE/ 9 5T]PRISES PROMIS+ LITTLE OR NO REW>D4 ,! %ORT-RUN EXPECTATIONS ( [N]S ( WEAL? >E1 9 ,KEYNES' VIEW1 BAS$ ON LONG-T]M EXPECTATIONS1 :I* >E NECESS>ILY GLOOMY DUE TO ! DECREAS+ SC>CITY ( CAPITAL4 ,H[ ?IS LONG-T]M TR5D - DECREAS+ M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( CAPITAL - AFFECTS IMM$IATE 9VE/M5T DECISIONS1 ,KEYNES DOES NOT MAKE CLE>4 ,HE M]ELY ASS]TS ?AT CAPITALI/S SEE 9 ANY ACTUAL DECREASE ( PR(ITABILITY A /ILL GREAT] FUTURE DECL9E2 & ?AT ?IS D>K \TLOOK CAUSES PRES5T-DAY BUS9ESS TO DECL9E EV5 FA/]4 ,9 O!R WORDS1 ! %ORT-T]M \TLOOK DET]M9ES ! LONG-T]M \TLOOK & ! LATT] DET]M9ES BEHAVIOR 9 ! %ORT-RUN4 ,RELY+ ON ?IS 09SIE AGGRAVAT+ ! DIFFICULTY ( SECUR+ EQUILIBRIUM TOMORR[40.<#b#d.> ,BUT = ! NE> FUTURE HE ?\?QUAKES1 . 444 W>S MAY S]VE TO 9CREASE WEAL?1 IF ! $UCATION ( \R /ATESM5 ON ! PR9CIPLES ( CLASSICAL ECONOMICS /&S 9 ! WAY ( ANY?+ BETT]40.<#b#e.> ,ALREADY ! ,FIR/ ,WORLD ,W> HAD %[N ?AT 0W>-SOCIALISM UNQUE/IONABLY A*IEV$ A PRODUCTION ( WEAL? F> GREAT] ?AN WE KNEW 9 PEACE1 = ?\< ! GOODS & S]VICES DELIV]$ W]E DE/9$ = IMM$IATE & FRUITLESS EXT9CTION1 NONE ! LESS !Y W]E WEAL?40.<#b#f.> ,ASIDE FROM ! 0ACCID5T0 ( W>1 H[EV]1 IF EMPLOYM5T AS 0A FUNCTION ( ! EXPECT$ CONSUMPTION & ! EXPECT$ 9VE/M5T10 WAS NOT FULL EMPLOYM5T BECAUSE EXPECTATIONS W]E PESSIMI/IC1 !SE 9SUFFICI5T EXPECTATIONS C\LD BE AUGM5T$ BY AN OPTIMI/IC PLANN+ :I* NE$ NOT DE/ROY ! BASIC FABRIC ( CAPITALISM4 ,9 ,KEYNES' VIEW1 FULL EMPLOYM5T DID NOT HAVE TO 9VOLVE W>F>E1 CAPITAL DE/RUCTION1 OR SUP]FLU\S PRODUCTION1 BUT C\LD BE REALIZ$ BY WAY ( PUBLIC WORKS ( EI!R GREAT OR D\BTFUL UTILITY :I* W\LD 9CREASE 9COME )\T 5L>G+ SAV+S1 & ?US KEEP ! LABOR]S BUSY4 ,! ACTUAL CRISES OR BUS9ESS-CYCLE FITT$ ONLY IMP]FECTLY 9TO ,KEYNES' !ORY ( 0EFFECTIVE DEM&0 BAS$ ON ! DECL9+ 0PROP5SITY TO CONSUME10 BECAUSE ! BUS9ESS-CYCLE ACCOMPANI$ ! MO/ IMPORTANT P]IOD ( CAPITALI/ DEVELOPM5T1 NOT JU/ ITS 0MATURE0 /AGE4 ,IT HAD TO BE CONSID]$ L>GELY A ?+ ( ! PA/1 & 9 ?IS CAPACITY IT S]V$ AS A RA!R HAZY ILLU/RATION ( SOCIETY'S 0MATUR+0 PROCESS - A PROCESS 9 :I*1 AT 9T]VALS1 ! DECL9+ PROP5SITY TO CONSUME C\LD /ILL BE IMMUNIZ$ BY PR(IT EXPECTATIONS ( CONSID]ABLE ?\< DIM9I%+ =CE & BY ! 0WEAL?-CREAT+0 P[] ( NUM]\S W>S4 ,KEYNES (T5 EXPRESS$ ! BELIEF ?AT CAPITALISM HAD LONG S9CE LO/ ITS ABILITY TO OV]COME DEPRESSIONS & ?AT /AGNATION WAS ! 0NORMAL0 /ATE ( ITS EXI/5CE UNLESS GOV]NM5T 9T]V5TIONS 9 ! 9VE/M5T M>KET 9T]RUPT$ IT4 ,SOME ( ,KEYNES' DISCIPLES DID NOT ?9K IT AN 0EXAGG]ATION TO SAY ?AT 9FLATION & FULL EMPLOYM5T >E ! NORMAL CONDITIONS ( A W>-TIME ECONOMY & ?AT DEFLATION & UNEMPLOYM5T >E ! NORMAL CONDITIONS ( A PEACE-TIME ECONOMY 9 ! PRES5T /AGE ( CAPITALI/ DEVELOPM5T40.<#b#g.> ,:ATEV] ! OBJECTIVE REASONS = DEPRESSIONS1 AS LONG AS ECONOMI/S CONSID] !M UNASC]TA9ABLE !Y HAVE NO?+ TO WORK ON BUT ! PSY*OLOGY ( ! CLASS !Y REPRES5T4 ,?IS PSY*OLOGY IS EXPLICABLE \T ( ! REAL MOVEM5TS ( CAPITAL PRODUCTION2 IT CANNOT 9 TURN EXPLA9 !SE MOVEM5TS4 ,EV5 ,KEYNES FELT AT TIMES ?AT SU* A PROC$URE WAS 9SUFFICI5T & TRI$1 TO GIVE HIS PSY*OLOGICAL 9T]PRETATIONS A MAT]IAL BASE4 ,QUITE 9 CONTRA/ TO HIS G5]AL TONE ( >GUM5TATION1 HE PO9T$ \T ?AT ! 0DURATION ( ! SLUMP %\LD HAVE A DEF9ITE RELATION%IP TO ! L5G? ( LIFE ( DURABLE ASSETS & TO ! NORMAL RATE ( GR[? 9 A GIV5 EPO*40 ,AT ! \TSET ( ! SLUMP1 HE CONT9U$1 0!RE IS PROBABLY MU* CAPITAL ( :I* ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY HAS BECOME NEGLIGIBLE OR EV5 NEGATIVE4 ,BUT ! 9T]VAL ( TIME1 :I* WILL HAVE ELAPS$ BE=E ! %ORTAGE ( CAPITAL ?R\< USE1 DECAY & OBSOLESC5CE CAUSES A SUFFICI5TLY OBVI\S SC>CITY TO 9CREASE ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY1 MAY BE A SOME:AT /ABLE FUNCTION ( ! AV]AGE DURABILITY ( CAPITAL 9 A GIV5 EPO*40.<#b#h.> ,! REASON = ! L[ M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( CAPITAL AT ! \TSET ( 7& DUR+7 ! SLUMP APPE>S TO BE ?AT AN ABUNDANCE ( CAPITAL CAUSES A LACK ( PR(ITABILITY4 ,IT FOLL[S FROM ?IS ?AT HA/5+ ! USE1 DECAY1 & OBSOLESC5CE ( CAPITAL %\LD 9CREASE ITS SC>CITY-VALUE &1 ) ?IS1 ITS PR(ITABILITY4 ,ONE ME?OD ( A*IEV+ CAPITAL-SC>CITY IS LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE4 ,IT IMPLIES A LACK ( NEW 9VE/M5TS2 & 9 ! SLUMP SITUATION1 NEW 9VE/M5TS W\LD ONLY 9CREASE ! QUANTITY ( CAPITAL1 :I* IS ALREADY TOO L>GE TO HAVE SATISFACTORY YIELDS4 ,SO LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE W\LD BE ONE WAY1 AMONG O!RS - SU* AS PYRAMID-BUILD+ & W>F>E - TO MA9TA9 ! SC>CITY ( CAPITAL & ?US ITS PR(ITABILITY4 ,BUT1 UNLIKE PYRAMID-BUILD+ & W>F>E1 LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE MEANS UNEMPLOYM5T4 ,KEYNES OPPOSES IT = PRECISELY ?IS REASON4 ,9 ,KEYNES' VIEW1 CAPITAL /AGNATION EXPRESSES ! CAPITALI/ 9ABILITY OR UNWILL+NESS TO ACCEPT A DECREAS+ PR(ITABILITY4 ,! CRISIS RESULTS FROM AN 0OV]-9VE/M5T0 PROMPT$ BY 0EXPECTATIONS :I* >E DE/9$ TO DISAPPO9TM5T40 ,! CRISIS OCCURS NOT BECAUSE 0! COMMUNITY AS A :OLE HAS NO REASONABLE USE = ANY MORE 9VE/M5TS10 BUT BECAUSE 0D\BTS SUDD5LY >ISE CONC]N+ ! RELIABILITY ( !IR RESPECTIVE YIELDS10 & 0ONCE D\BT BEG9S1 IT SPREADS RAPIDLY40 ,DUR+ ! BOOM 0DISILLUSION FALLS UPON AN OV]-OPTIMI/IC & MU* OV]-B\KET10 & 0LEADS TO A %>P 9 CREASE 9 LIQUIDITY-PREF]5CE40 ,?IS CREATES ! CRISIS4 ,! 0OV]-9VE/M5T0 EXI/S BECAUSE 9VE/M5TS HAVE BE5 ASSOCIAT$ ) PR(IT-EXPECTATIONS ?AT PROVE TO BE HIE EXPECT$ TO YIELD NO?+2 & ! RESULT+ COLLAPSE ( NEW 9VE/M5TS !N LEADS TO A /ATE ( UNEMPLOYM5T 9 :I* 9VE/M5TS1 :I* W\LD HAVE YIELD$ #b.01 9 CONDITION ( FULL EMPLOYM5T1 9 FACT YIELD LESS ?AN NO?+40 ,! 5SU+ SUDD5 COLLAPSE ( ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( CAPITAL1 0DET]M9$ BY ! UNCONTROLLABLE & DISOB$I5T PSY*OLOGY ( ! BUS9ESS WORLD1 L[]S ! EXI/+ PROP5SITY TO CONSUME BY 9VOLV+ A SEV]E DECL9E 9 ! M>KET-VALUE ( /OCK EQUITIES40.<#b#i.> ,& ?US ! DECL9E FE$S ON ITSELF1 UNTIL IT IS >RE/$ BY AN 9CREASE ( ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( CAPITAL )9 ! CRISIS SITUATION OR BY AN EXPANSION ( CAPITAL DESPITE ITS L[] M>G9AL EFFICI5CY4 ,TO HOPE = A RISE ( ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( CAPITAL )91 ! CRISIS SITUATION MEANS TO AWAIT ! RETURN ( A SUFFICI5T SC>CITY ( CAPITAL4 ,9 0MATURE0 CAPITALISM ?IS MAY WELL BE DISA/R\S3 L>GE-SCALE UNEMPLOYM5T ( LONG DURATION HAS SEV]E SOCIAL CON SEQU5CES4 ,TO OV]COME ! DEPRESSION IT IS NECESS>Y BO? TO IMPROVE ! PR(ITABILITY ( CAPITAL & TO EXP& PRODUCTION BEYOND ! LIMITS ( PRIVATE CAPITAL =MATION4 ,AL?\< ,KEYNES CAME TO SEE 9T]E/-RATE MANIPULATIONS AS A POSSIBLY M9OR1 OR EV5 TOTALLY 9EFFECTIVE 9/RUM5T = RAIS+ ! 9C5TIVE TO 9VE/1 HE HELD ON TO IT NEV]!LESS AS P>T ( AN EXT5SIVE ONSLAU P>T 9 SETT+ A LIMIT TO ! LEVEL ( EMPLOYM5T1 S9CE IT SETS A /&>D TO :I* ! M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( A CAPITAL-ASSET MU/ ATTA9 IF IT IS TO ACCRUE10.<#c.> BUT ALSO BECAUSE HE FAVOR$ ! ELIM9ATION ( ! 0FUNCTION-LESS 9VE/OR0 9 PR9CIPLE1 BECAUSE 09T]E/ TODAY REW>DS NO G5U9E SACRIFICE40.<#c#a.> ,AS 0MATURE0 CAPITALISM SIGNIFIES A L[] M>G9AL EFFICI5CY ( CAPITAL1 ! GREAT] RISK IMPLI$ 9 NEW 9VE/M5TS C\LD BE AT LEA/ P>TLY R$UC$ BY ELIM9AT+ ! 0L5D]'S RISK0 ALTOGE!R4 ,9 VIEW ( ! PREC>I\S /ATE ( 9VE/M5T M>KETS1 ,KEYNES CAME F9ALLY TO ! CONCLUSION ?AT 0! DUTY ( ORD]+ ! CURR5T VOLUME ( 9VE/M5T CANNOT SAFELY BE LEFT 9 PRIVATE H&S40.<#c#b.> ,! GOAL ( ALL GOV]NM5TAL POLICIES WAS TO BE FULL EMPLOYM5T1 = 0ONLY 9 CONDITION ( FULL EMPLOYM5T IS A L[ PROP5SITY TO CONSUME CONDUCIVE TO ! GR[? ( CAPITAL40.<#c#c.> ,& AS IT IS ONLY DUR+ A BOOM ?AT CAPITALISM COMES NE>E/ TO FULL EMPLOYM5T1 ! 0RI ,) FULL EMPLOYM5T ! CRIT]ION1 ! EFFECTIV5ESS ( V>I\S GOV]NM5T 9T]V5TIONS 9 ! M>KET ECONOMY C\LD BE TE/$ BY EXP]IM5T4 ,:ATEV] DID NOT LEAD TO FULL EMPLOYM5T WAS NOT 5\<4 #a4 ,K4 ,M>X1 ,CAPITAL1 ,K]R $41 ,VOL4 ,I1 P4 #a#g4 #b4 ,J4 ,M4 ,KEYNES1 ,! ,ECONOMIC ,CONSEQU5CES ( ! ,PEACE1 ,NEW ,YORK1 #a#i#b#i1 P4 #adf #c4 ,IBID41 P4 #bb #d4 ,R4 ,F4 ,H>ROD1 ,! ,LIFE ( ,JOHN ,MAYN>D ,KEYNES1 ,LONDON1 #a#i#e#a1 P4 #c#c#b4 #e4 ,D4 ,DILL>D1 ,! ,ECONOMICS ( ,JOHN ,MAYN>D ,KEYNES1 ,NEW ,YORK1 #a#i#d#h1 P4 #f4 ,J4 ,M4 ,KEYNES1 ,! ,G5]AL ,!ORY ( ,EMPLOYM5T1 ,9T]E/ & ,MONEY1 ,NEW ,YORK1 #a#i#c#f1 P4 #c#h4 #g4 ,S4 ,GESELL1 ,DIE ,NATURLI*E ,WIRTS*AFTSORDNUNG DUR* ,FREIL& UND ,FREIGELD1 ,B]L91 #a#i#a#f4 #h4 ,! ,G5]AL ,!ORY P4 #c #i4 ,IBID41 P4 #bfh #a4 ,IBID41 P4 #a#i4 #a#a4 ,IBID41 P4 #b4 #a#b4 ,IBID41 P4 #b#a4 #a#c4 ,IBID4 ,P #i4 #a#d4 ,IBID41 P4 #b#d#g4 #a#e4 ,IBID41 P4 #dc #a#f4 ,IBID41 P4 #cb #a#g4 ,IBID41 P4 #cb #a#h4 ,IBID41 P4 #af #a#i4 IBID41 P4 #bg #b4 IBID41 P4 #ih #b#a4 ,IBID41 P4 #cbf #b#b4 ,IBID41 P4 #cbe #b#c4 ,J4 ,A4 ,S*UMPET]1 ,CAPITALISM1 ,SOCIALISM & ,DEMOCRACY1 ,NEW ,YORK1 #a#i#d#g1 P4 #cie #b#d4 ,! ,G5]AL ,!ORY1 P4 #ae #b#e4 ,IBID41 P4 #a#b#i4 #b#f4 ,M4 ,KEYNES1 ,LAISSEZ-,FAIRE & ,COMMUNISM1 ,NEW ,YORK1 #a#i#b#f1 P4 #d#h4 #b#g4 ,D4 ,DILL>D1 ,! ,ECONOMICS ( ,JOHN ,MAYN>D ,KEYNES1 P4 #b#d#a4 #b#h4 ,! ,G5]AL ,!ORY1 P4 #c#a#h4 #b#i4 ,IBID41 PP4 #c#a#g1 #c#a#i1 #c#b#a1 #c#b#b4 #c4 ,IBID41 P4 #bbb #c#a4 ,IBID41 P4 #c#g#f4 #c#b4 ,IBID1 P4 #c#b4 #c#c4 ,IBID41 P4 #c#g#c4 #c#d4 ,IBID41 P4 #c#b#b4 ,FROM 3 ,M>XI/S4ORG4 ,*RONOLOGY 3 ,M>* #b1 #bba 3 ,*APT] #a -- ,ADD$4 FILE G5]AT$ FROM 3 HTTP3_/_/REVOLTLIB4COM_/