,RUSSIA4 ,AT ! BOTTOM4 

,PEOPLE 3 

,AU?OR 3 ,ALLIANCE ( ,REVOLUTION>Y ,SOCIALI/S 

,TEXT 3 

,ONE MU/ BE LAZY TO NOT TALK ( ! CRISIS N[ADAYS4 ,9 A SONG DEFIANTLY TITL$ 0,ANTICRISIS01 ,SEVA1 A POPUL> ,RUSSIAN ,9T]NET RAPP]1 EV5 RAPS AB\T SMIL+ MORE & TAK+ *ANCES TO FREE RIDE AS ! CRISIS 5DURES4 ,:ILE 9 ,KIEV1 AN OP5-AIR C9EMA 9 ONE ( ! CITY'S P>KS DISPLAY$ A POP VIDEO :]E A S+] & HIS REVEAL+LY DRESS$ FEMALE CREW 9SI/$ ON =GETT+ AB\T ! CRISIS & RELAX+4 

,%[ BUS9ESS C]TA9LY GIVES 9T]E/+ ADVISE1 BUT IT'S H>DLY POSSIBLE = ALL ?OSE ORD9>Y WORK+ PEOPLE TO RELAX :ILE BE>+ ! BRUNT ( ! CRISIS ON !IR %\LD]S4 ,& !RE'S ALL ! LESS REASON TO SMILE = ?OSE MILLIONS :O W]E LAID (F4 ,EV5 MORE SO = ! /UD5TS - :O1 HAV+ GRADUAT$ 9TO A DEAD LABOR M>KET1 CAN ALL BUT FREE RIDE4 ,LET ALONE ! PUPILS :O WILL FACE A LACK ( FREE PLACES 9 UNIV]SITIES4 

,! ,C,I,S C\NTRIES HAVE BE5 HIT ! WOR/ BY ! CAPITALI/ CRISIS 7! SECOND QU>T] ( #bi BR\<T A FALL ( #a4#i.0 TO ,RUSSIA'S ,G,D,P74 ,IT MAKES IT ALL ! MORE BIZ>RE ?AT ! CRISIS = SOME PEOPLE IS NO MORE ?AN SMIL+ & FREE RID+4 

,IT'S IMPOSSIBLE TO DI/+UI% ! POLITICIANS FROM ! POP S+]S )9 ?IS CONC]T ( ABSURDITY4 ,MR4 ,KUDR91 ,RUSSIA'S M9I/] ( F9ANCE1 ASSUR$3 0,WE /ILL DO NOT HAVE ! F9AL DATA = ! SECOND QU>T]1 BUT WE EXPECT ,RUSSIA'S ECONOMY TO GR[ 9 ! ?IRD QU>T] COMP>$ TO ! SECOND QU>T]1 & ! ?IRD QU>T] WILL M>K ! 5D ( RECESSION4"90 ,S\NDS GREAT6 ,BUT 9 REALITY1 WE CAN SAY ?AT ,RUSSIAN ,G,D,P CONTRACT$ ALL ! WAY ?R\< #b#i1 & MO/ OPTIMI/IC PR$ICTION W\LD BE AN 5D ( CONTRACTION1 BUT C]TA9LY NOT GR[?4 ,IT SEEMS ?AT ! ,RUSSIAN & ,C,I,S ECONOMIES >E SIMPLY CRAWL+ ALONG ! BOTTOM1 HAV+ NO MORE V]TICAL SPACE UND]NEA? !M = N[4 ,MR4 ,SOKOL91 ! HEAD ( ! *IEF /ATI/ICS AG5CY ,ROS/AT1 DID NOT %>E ,MR4 ,KUDR9'S WILD OPTIMISM3 0,I'M NO POLITICIAN1 ,I AM A /ATI/ICIAN2 ONLY 9 #c TO #d MON?S WILL IT BECOME CLE> IF !RE IS ANY GR[?4 ,= N[ ALL ,I SEE IS A HORIZONTAL TR5D40 

,MEAN:ILE1 9 MID-#b#i ! ,M9I/RY ( ,F9ANCE PR$ICT$ ?AT ! BUDGET DEFICIT W\LD REA* #c4#b TRILLION BY ! 5D ( #b#i1 AL?\< REC5TLY ! SCALE WAS REVIS$ D[N4 ,! REAL FIGURES >E YET TO BE REVEAL$4 ,H[ DO ! AU?ORITIES RESPOND TO SU* CONDITIONS8 ,!Y QUITE SIMPLY LOOK TO FREE RIDE & L9E !IR POCKETS :ILE DO+ SO4 ,! VICE PRIME M9I/]1 ,MR4 ,%UVALOV1 SAID ?AT 0! TIME :5 WE CAN REV]T TO PRIVATIZATION WILL RETURN0 9 AN 9T]VIEW ) ,BLOOMB]G ,T,V4 ,KUDR9 HAS ALREADY LET EV]YONE KN[ ?AT HE AGREES4 ,! GOV]NM5T HAS RESUM$ SELL+ (F /ATE ASSETS1 ALLEG$LY DUE TO ! BUDG$ DEFICIT1 & ! PREMI] ,PUT9 LABEL$ PRIVATIZATION AS 0ONE ( ! 9/RUM5TS ( /RUCTURAL RE=M 9 ! REAL SECTOR ( ! ECONOMY04 ,! /ATE CAN N[ C\NT ON AN 9FLUX ( #h BILLION RUBLES BY ! 5D ( #b#a1 & 9COME WILL BE G5]AT$ MA9LY ?R\< S5D+ 0/RATEGIC0 /ATE 5T]PRISES UND] ! HAMM]4 

,SO :AT IS BEH9D ALL ! RHETORIC8 ,! /ATE1 AS ! PRIM>Y CAPITALI/1 IS JUGGL+ CAPITAL BETWE5 AB/RACT LEGAL =MS4 ,! 0NEW0 PRIVATE [N]S WILL LIKELY REMA9 ! SAME /ATE BUREAUCRATS :O WILL ACQUIRE FREEBIE 0/RATEGIC0 CAPITAL BY FREE RID+ ON !IR POSITIONS 9 CRITICAL ECONOMIC CONDITIONS4 ,:ILE 9 MO/ C\NTRIES ANTICYCLICAL MEASURES >E BAS$ >\ND UP SCAL+ /ATE 9T]V5TION1 ,RUSSIAN OV]LORDS >E PLANN+ A SECOND PRIVATIZATION4 

,A SAY+ GOES3 0,Y\ CAN'T GET ,RUSSIA ) ! BRA904 ,BUT :AT IS !RE TO GET8 ,IF ! ELITES ( ! DEVELOP$ C5T]S ( CAPITAL >E ACT+ RATIONALLY 7AS F> AS ?IS IS POSSIBLE 9 *AOTIC M>KETS71 ON ! ASSUMPTION ?AT SCOR*$ E>? ISN'T PR(ITABLE 9 ! LONG RUN1 ! ,RUSSIAN ELITES >E !N PSY*OLOGICALLY FATALI/IC COMPRADORS UNCONC]N$ ) ANY K9D ( /RATEGY4 ,! /UNT$ TWO-HEAD *ICK5 ( ! ,RUSSIAN /ATE & BUS9ESS IS ADDICT$ TO ! OIL NE$LE & O!R PROSPECTS ( 9VE/M5T >E M>G9AL TO !IR SCOPE ( 9T]E/4 ,! RATE ( PR(IT 9 ! BLOAT$ OIL 9DU/RY SATISFY IT'S ADDICTION OR N[1 & :AT HAPP5S ONCE ITS RES]VES >E FLU%$ IS BEYOND IT'S CAPACITY - IT'S A *ICK51 IT DOESN'T ?9K4 

,BO? NATIONALIZATION & PRIVATIZATION >E ALWAYS DONE 9 ! 9T]E/S ( ! RUL+ CLASS1 9 ACCORDANCE TO ! FAM\S PR9CIPLE ( 0NATIONALIZ+ ! LOSSES & PRIVATIZ+ ! PR(ITS04 ,IF ! CORE CAPITALI/ C\NTRIES UND]TAKE NATIONALIZATION AS A MEANS TO PRES]VE ! SUM ( CAPITAL AT ! EXP5SE ( 9DIVIDUAL CAPITALI/S1 & UND]TAKE PRIVATIZATION AS A MEANS TO BOO/ ! SUM ( CAPITAL ?R\< BOO/+ 9DIVIDUAL CAPITAL1 !N 9 ,RUSSIA'S CASE BO? >E R\T9E MEANS TO ROB WORK+ PEOPLE IRREG>DLESS ( ANY /RUCTURES OR RE=MS1 EV5 ,PUT9 CLAIMS O!RWISE4 

,PRIOR TO ! CRISIS1 A MULTITUDE ( SO-CALL$ /ATE CORPORATIONS MU%ROOM$1 IRRIGAT$ BY A HEAVY RA9 ( PETRODOLL>S4 ,!SE ALLEG$LY OCCUPI$ PRIORITY NI*ES ( ! ECONOMY4 ,= EXAMPLE1 ,*UBAIS 7! *IEF 0PRIVATIZ]0 ( ! E>LY '#iS7 BECAME ! DIRECTOR ( 0,ROSNANO01 ! /ATE CORPORATION 9 ! MU* POPUL>IZ$ NANO-TE*NOLOGIES NI*E4 ,BUT ALL NI*ES & SECTORS REMA9$ AS DES]T$ AS BE=E1 EV5 IF ! LIKES ( ,*UBAIS HAVE ATTRACT$ C\NTLESS MILLIONS 7/ATE 5T]PRISE DIRECTORS HAD A SAL>Y HI<] ?AN MO/ PRIVATE DIRECTORS7 FROM PUBLIC FUNDS1 :I* !N DISAPPE>$ D[N ! BLACK HOLE ( !IR POCKETS4 ,N[ADAYS !SE /ATE CORPORATIONS >E \T ( FAVOR & A WAVE ( PRIVATIZATION IS LOOM+2 IT APPE>S ?AT MONEY FL[S WILL BE DIV]T$ FROM ONE POCKET & 9TO ! O!R4 

,AT ONE PO9T1 ,PUT9 WAS HAIL$ AS ! NEW ,IVAN ,I,I,I1 ! 0GA!R] ( ,RUSSIAN L&S04 ,BUT 9 ! EPO* ( LATE CAPITALISM1 ! ,RUSSIAN RUL+ CLASS HAS R5D]$ 9CAPABLE ( ANY K9D ( MOD]NIZATION ( !IR C\NTRY 9 !IR [N 9T]E/S1 UNLIKE :AT ! C\NTRY SAW UND] ,PET] ! ,GREAT & ,/AL94 ,9 FACT1 ! CONTEMPOR>Y ,RUSSIAN RUL+ CLASS IS CONSCI\SLY REV]T+ ITS C\NTRY 9TO A SEMI-COLONY2 = EXAMPLE1 9 ,SEPTEMB] #b#i1 ! NEW PRESID5T ,M$V$EV & ! ,*9ESE *AIRMAN ,HU ,J9TAO AGRE$ ON A PLAN ( COOP]ATION UNTIL #bah REG>D+ ! EXPLOITATION ( ,SIB]IAN RAW MAT]IALS = ! B5EFIT ( NEW 9DU/RIES PRODUC+ FURNITURE1 LEAD1 ELECTRICAL APPLIANCES1 C>S & O!R COMMODITIES 9 ,*9A'S ,NOR?-,EA/4 ,9 ?IS ACT ( PROVID+ ,SIB]IA TO ,*9A1 ,RUSSIA HAS DE JURE ACCEPT$ ITS /ATUS AS ,*9A'S RAW MAT]IAL P]IPH]Y & SEMI-COLONY1 EVID5TLY DUE TO ITS [N 9ABILITY ( 9DEP5D5T 9VE/M5T 9TO NATIONAL PROCESS+ CAPACITIES4 

,! ,RUSSIAN RUL+ CLASS IS F> FROM BE+ ABLE TO MOD]NIZE ITS ECONOMY = ! SAKE ( LONG-T]M PR(ITS1 & IS EV5 FUR!R FROM CON/RUCT+ SAME K9D ( DEMOCRATIC FACADE = ITS RULE4 ,ALL LIB]AL HOPES 9VE/$ 9TO CREAT+ A ,RUSSIAN LIB]AL DEMOCRACY >E UNWITT+ FALLACIES 9 ! CONDITIONS ( ! DIRECT /ATE & BUS9ESS SYMBIOSIS ?AT P]COLATES D[N TO ! 9DIVIDUAL LEVEL4 ,! ,RUSSIAN WORK+ CLASS1 :I* HAS HAD QUITE 5\< ( B\RGEOIS DEMOCRACY 9 ITS %AM ,RUSSIAN 9C>NATION1 IS ( GREAT DISAPPO9TM5T TO ! LIB]ALS1 = :OM A REVOLT ( ! MASSES IS WORSE ?AN A SADI/IC CZ>4 ,SU* ILLIB]AL CONDITIONS C]TA9LY WON'T HELP ! SUCCESS ( PRO-7B\RGEOIS7DEMOCRATIC SLOGANS1 :I* ! LIKES ( SOME ,TROTSKYITES UPHOLD4 ,9 FACT1 SU* SLOGANS M]ELY DI/RACT ! WORK+ CLASS FROM A DIRECT CONFRONTATION ) IT CLASS 5EMY \TSIDE ! HO/ILE FIELD ( B\RGEOIS LEGALITY4 

,9 SOME ASPECTS MOD]N ,RUSSIA REM9DS US ( ,CZ>I/ ,RUSSIA ( ! E>LY ,X,X C5TURY2 ! SAME ECONOMIC BACKW>DNESS 7) PETRODOLL>S 9/EAD ( AGRODOLL>S71 ! SAME POLITICAL IMPOT5CE4 ,:5 A RISE ( WELF>E ( ! OPPRESS$ IS NO LONG] POSSIBLE1 & LEGAL TRAPS SU* AS 0DEMOCRACY0 OR 0TRADE UNIONS0 NO LONG] FUNCTION1 ! OPPRESSIVE YET IMPOT5T REGIME IS 9 = A R\< RIDE1 #a#i#a#g-/YLE4 

,FE> ALREADY GRIPS !M4 ,DUR+ A MEET+ ) ! ,CIVIC ,*AMB]1 ,MR4 ,SURKOV1 ! REGIME'S IDEOLOGICAL >*ITECT1 EXPLA9$ ?AT ! MA9 IDEA BEH9D ,M$V$EV'S >TICL$ 9 A FOOTBALL NATIONALI/ MANN] TITL$ 0,GO ,RUSSIA60 IS A SMOO? MOD]NIZATION ( ! C\NTRY & AN ATTEMPT TO AVOID ! REPEAT ( #a#i#a#g4 ,A MEMB] ( ! *AMB]1 ,MR4 ,SVANIDZE1 HAS FULL-HE>T$LY AGRE$ ) ,SURKOV3 0,RE=M CAN COME ONLY FROM ABOVE - WE DON'T FEEL A CON/RUCTIVE IMPULSE FROM BEL[1 ONLY A BREW+ REVOLT04 

,!Y FE> ! MASSES1 BUT REMA9 JU/ AS IMPOT5T4 ,!Y HAVE NO 5]GY = MOD]NIZATION4 0,! ECONOMY CAN BE RE/OR$ ?R\< ! BOOM & BU/ CYCLE01 ACCORD+ TO A PR$ICTION BY ! FIRM 0,R5AISSANCE ,CAPITAL04 

,IT SEEMS LIKELY ?AT AFT] ! #bi PLUNGE1 ,G,D,P GR[? WILL HOV] >\ND #f.0 9 #b#a-#b#a#b4 ,BUT AFT] A BRIEF REVITALIZATION 9 #b#a1 A PEAK 9 #baa & A SL[D[N 9 #b#a#b1 #bac WILL BR+ A NEW CONTRACTION4 ,A NEW CRISIS 9 ,RUSSIAN ECONOMY WILL PROBABLY EM]GE 9 RESPONSE TO GLOBAL ECONOMIC CONJUNCTURE :5 NEW HA/ILY 9FLAT$ BUBBLES BUR/4 

,! 0,W0 SC5>IO 7FALL1 RISE1 FALL7 IS ALSO PR$ICT$ BY ! ,C,M,A,S,F 7! ,C5T] = ,MACROECONOMIC ,ANALYSIS & ,%ORT-,T]M ,=ECA/+72 ACCORD+ TO ITS ECONOMI/ ,MR4 ,BEL\SOV1 0,! BUBBLE WILL GO ?R\< ANO!R CYCLE1 AS ! EXI/+ MISBALANCES >E H]E TO /AY04 ,HE ALSO PR$ICTS ?AT ! NEXT 0,W0 WILL APPE> 9 ! YE>S #baf & #b#a#g4 

,WE HAVE NO WAY TO TELL IF #bag WILL BE M>K$ BY A SOCIAL UPHEAVAL1 BUT WE BETT] PREP>E = ! WOR/ 7OR BE/7 TURN ( EV5TS4 ,TO BE PREP>$ WE MU/ KN[ ! HI/ORY ( VICTORIES & DEFEATS ( PA/ UPHEAVALS1 !IR /R5G?S & WEAKNESSES1 & EV]Y?+ GREAT & 9SPIR+ ?AT !Y CONTA9$ )94 

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,*RONOLOGY 3 
,JANU>Y #b#f1 #bba 3 ,RUSSIA4 ,AT ! BOTTOM4 -- ,ADD$4 
,JANU>Y #f1 #bbb 3 ,RUSSIA4 ,AT ! BOTTOM4 -- ,UPDAT$4 

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